2024 Election Map 538. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. 538 ranks current polls by accuracy and gives more weight to polls deemed more reliable and adds its own proprietary analysis that introduces geographic and demographic to suggest.
Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below. We’ll use 538’s averages of polling since the beginning of august because that allows us to compare support for democrat harris and republican former president donald.